Note - Ryan computer took a turn for the worse. I'm playing catch-up so let's talk about the weather.
Quick Forecast for Today (Friday):
Aspen: Sunshine and a few wisps of cirrus. Balmy. High 68 to 70 Aspen, 72 Basalt. Wind WNW 7 to 15mph. Low 35 to 40.
On-Mtn: Sunshine and a few wisps of cirrus. Highs in the 50s at mid-slope, 47 to 50 near 11K. Wind WNW 9 to 18mph.
Today (Friday) - Ambient water is low today my friends. Dewpoints will be in the low to mid teens this afternoon. So what does that mean, it means our high temp in Aspen will be near 70 with a dewpoint near 15. So we have a 55 degree spread between temp and dewpoint by mid afternoon. A 55 degree spread is hideous and rain cannot possibly happen. I expect to see sunshine and a few wisps of high clouds today. Our high temps will be balmy as we approach 70 at the airport. Look for lower 70s or a touch better down valley.
Saturday- A strong closed low will impact California during Saturday. This feature turns our winds around to SW. The SW wind aloft will keep us balmy but it also introduces some problems. Some mid-level energy rotates around the closed low and we may see a touch of this energy in the PM. I will allow for the risk of a couple afternoon or night-time showers roaming around. The reason why is the mid-level energy along with decent instability. I'll call our sky cover mixed clouds and sun overall.
Sunday - The closed low begins to get nudged eastward. This means the jet gets a touch closer. I will have to allow for a shower on Sunday but I'm sensing we may salvage most of the day under mixed clouds and sun. Stay tuned as the models perform poorly with closed low.
Extended Forecast (Mon-Wed 4/30-5/2) - It's all about where does the closed low end up. The models basically have no idea. Monday through Wednesday is probably a more unsettled period but it might not be anything too steady. Time will tell.